Okay, you might be thinking, 2017 was just an anomaly. However, expertsalways recommendbracingfor impact, as the claim that it can kill a person faster is absolutely false. In 2017 alone, the National Safety Council estimated 40,000 people across the country died in car accidents. Suicide: 1 in 88. Lifetime odds of death for selected causes, United States, 2020; Cause of Death Odds of Dying; Heart disease: 1 in 6: Cancer: 1 in 7: COVID-19: 1 in 12: All preventable causes of death: 1 in 21: Chronic lower respiratory disease: 1 in 28: Opioid overdose: 1 in 67: Suicide: 1 in 93: Motor-vehicle crash: 1 in 101: Fall: 1 in 102: Gun assault: 1 . Yet how many people do you know that have a heart disease phobia? , it puts the odds of dying as a plane passenger at 1 in 205,552. Adrenaline and norepinephrineare released from the adrenal glands,causing the heart rate to rise, the lungs to work harder, and the body to feel less pain and muscle stress. For example, in a 2006 Reason magazine article, the National Safety Council (NSC) reported that in the US the average person's odds of dying in a plane crash in their lifetime is about one in 5,000. (Aircraft, Airline, Country, Year). You might have even heard the saying "you're more likely to die on the car ride to the airport than on the flight itself.". It can be difficult to accurately assess the biggest risks we face. Imagine that someone being the one who carried you for 9th months in their belly, taught you how to walk, fought with you about little things that only a mother and daughter relationship could understand. We have limited the data from 2010 to 2021. Sit back, relax, and check out the in-flight drink list, because the odds of a plane crash are very much in your favor. Some of these injuries might include disintegration, dismemberment, and detachment of the skin. The plane crashed into the ocean and fortunately, both pilots survived. Compare that, for example, to the annual risk of being killed in a motor vehicle crash for the average American, which is about 1 in 5,000. Searchers say the chances of finding anyone alive are "nil" after the crash near the town of Pokhara. If you live in the USA, you can see that some of the most popular airlines feature on this list, including Southwest Airlines, American Airlines, and United Airlines while others including Delta, JetBlue, and Alaska Airlines do not. In this article, I'm going to talk about the actual risks related to flying. From flights departing from the US alone, over 674 million people flew on a plane in 2021. An ex-fearful flyer turned flight attendant. If decompression occurs when a plane falls apart in the air, it can suck out bodies and seats outside, thus making them difficult to find. The FAA says it was the longest fatality-free stretch in aviation history. It is the country's deadliest plane crash in 30 years. But if youre still nervous at check-in despite these numbers, well, youre not alone. So, every 5.87 days, there are 2.32 deaths from plane crashes. The fight-or-flight response oftens occurs in traumatic or panic-inducing situations. And the probability-calculating app Am I Going Down? Chronic lower respiratory disease: 1 in 27. The crashes raised questions about the safety of the Boeing 737 Max aircraft used in both flights, and many airlines responded by grounding the aircraft. You'd think that you could just find out the numbersthe oddsand that would be it. Despite these stats, so many of us have a fear of flying yet are unbothered by crossing a street. To put these stats into perspective, youre far more likely to be struck by lightning (one in 1.2 million, per the National Weather Service) or attacked and killed by a shark (one in 3.7 million, according to the Florida Museum's International Shark Attack File) than you are to die in a plane crash. Alternatively, traveling by motorcycle was the most dangerous type of transportation with 212.57 deaths per billion passenger miles traveled. Knowing this and other facts regarding plane crashes might help ease flight anxiety or phobia (per the Anxiety and Depression Association of America). Unfortunately, there is nothing you can do that will substantially increase your odds of surviving a plane crash. This includes communications, navigation, monitoring, fuel, aircraft-flight control, weather, collision-avoidance, weather, and aircraft management systems. The stats confirm air travel is super safe. Findings from the American National Safety Council show us that flying is not a real risk when compared to other things. Numbers following titles refer to External Cause of Morbidity and Mortality classifications in ICD-10. Off the top of my head, I believe the answer is yes. Your chances of dying on a train drop dramatically to one in 178,741. She suddenly found herself falling through the air while still strapped in her seat. Becoming President of the United States. Some skeptics insist that the crash impact may be enough to break the spinal column and other bones, as well as damage organs when in the brace position. Car Crashes: How Safer is Flying Than Driving? Flying 1,000 miles by jet is only one micromort - and it's not a cumulative statistic. Ropeik argues that the reason why plane crashes are categorized as "catastrophes" and heart attacks are not is because they meet three criteria: "A catastrophe has to be big, it has to happen all at once, and something about it has to be calamitousdisastrousreally bad. If you are okay with a bit more risk, take a charter. According to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA), nearly 36,000 fatal traffic crashes occurred in 2020. . 15 minutes to defend yourself . Which makes sense as private carriers are deregulated with almost no oversightBasically anyone with a pilot' license can fly a private plane. Ironically, it also leads us to underestimate real risks that can injure or kill us. KEARNEY . Alternatively, traveling by motorcycle was the most dangerous type of transportation with 212.57 deaths per billion passenger miles traveled. The University of Oxford calculates that in 2006, Brits had odds of one in 36,512 of dying in a motor accident and one in 3.5m dying in a plane crash. Top seeds in NFL playoffs on notice: Who's ripe for an upset? With stories of vanishing planes in mind, Americans may find themselves wondering if something like that could happen to them. Instead, it's the everyday, mundane things we do that pose the most danger to us. When he said we need to talk, its like my body knew exactly what he was going to say. Dying in a plane crash is relatively quick and painless If the crash is sudden, a passenger would only be conscious for a moment or two. However, the data doesnt account for any differences between general aviation and commercial aviation. Cars also contain important safety features and technology, but they are not as advanced as the ones found in planes, and there is no legislation that requires all cars to feature these systems either. In fact, it has currently never been safer to fly on commercial airlines when we consider that airline passenger fatalities have fallen significantly compared to the previous decade. On that basis, the risk looks pretty small. American Airlines flight 965 crashed into a mountain in Colombia and Dussan and her father were two of four survivors. What are the Odds of Surviving a Plane Crash? Chances of Dying in a Plane Crash vs. a Car Crash. Taking off in an unsafe airplane. It was bound t But its important to take a closer look at the statistics to get the full picture, including safety statistics for smaller vs. larger planes and commercial vs non-commercial aviation, as well as if you are more likely to survive a plane crash or car crash. In terms of the likelihood of dying, if you are not scared driving your car, then I dont think that people should be scared of flying, Adjekum says. In fact, you take on greater risk by getting in your car to go to the supermarket. However, this statistic includes general aviation, with commercial planes very rarely crashing. Lawmakers squabble as nation nears limit, Hershel Walker staffer accuses conservative Matt Schlapp of groping him, Biden classified docs: McCarthy blasts double standard; live updates, Study reveals dangers of eating freshwater fish contaminated with PFAS, Corrupt scheme or politics as usual? These are just some of the questions passengers want answered. You're more likely to die from the flu, which kills 55,000 Americans per year. The Odds of Dying chart, based on Injury Facts data, is a visual depiction of the lifetime odds of death from selected causes. Source: National Safety Council estimates based on data from National Center for Health StatisticsMortality Data for 2020, as compiled from data provided by the 57 vital statistics jurisdictions through the Vital Statistics Cooperative Program. Although my parents were divorced, they put their differences aside after some time and truly got along for the sake of us. The National Safety Council says car crashes are the fifth highest cause of death for Americans-- your odds are one in 102. The odds of dying in a plane crash are 1 in 9,821, though this accounts for both general aviation, that includes small planes, and commercial aviation. And your chances of dying on an airplane, are even lower, one in 205,552. Different factors are involved. In a high-impact crash or when a plane breaks up in the sky, the death is usually very quick and painless. Well, theres no reason to be worried; probability is on your side. Elvis Presley, Lack of visibility, crew unable to properly see the terrain below, Losing control because of speed, pitch and banking angle, Powerplant System component failure (Engine), Non-powerplant System component failure (other than Engine), Fuel related, including fuel ignition, lack of fuel, Low-altitude operations conducted on non-commercial flights, Other reasons and undetermined reasons such as wreckage not found. . And the odds of surviving are surprisingly good. According to an FAA study, there are approximately 5 plane crashes a day. plane, you lose control over your fate. One crash survivor described the feeling as follows: "You get thrown up in the air, everything goes weightless and everything inside the plane starts floating around. The conclusion: Getting on a plane is 100 times safer than getting into your car. . 1 in 500. With both air and car travel being so ubiquitous nowadays, you might be wondering if planes or cars are the safer mode of transportation. I was numb to the pain because of how many people I was surrounded with at all times. Put your small carry-on under the seat. Between February 2015 and May 2016, there were three fatal commercial aircraft crashes in or around Africa. If the pilot is struggling for control, the spinning and maneuvering can cause passengers to lose consciousness. 2023 BDG Media, Inc. All rights reserved. Kristin Chenoweth regrets staying quiet about 'The Good Wife' accident, What happens if US hits debt ceiling? Theodore Roosevelt, 26th U.S. president. Lifetime odds of dying in a Plane crash in the US are 1 in 11,515. Do You Get Charged If You Miss Your Flight. The FAA says before this recent death, there had been zero fatalities aboard U.S. commercial flights since 2009. The average person living in the United States has a 1 in 102 chance of dying in a car crash . To put this another way, according to the FAA, in 2017 general aviation aircraft logged a total of 21.7 million flight hours, with a fatal accident rate of 0.931 per 100,000 hours. Or, every 2.53 days, there is 1 death from a plane crash in the US. The chances of a plane crashing are 1 in 1.2 million, and the probability of a person dying in an airplane crash is a mere 1 in 11 million. In fact, you're more than 300 times more likely to parent triplets than to be in a plane crash. And for every 100,000 commercial flight hours, there are 2.32 deaths from plane crashes. In comparison, it's much more common to die in a car crash (1 in 5,000) or even from drowning. For those not keen on children, this may be scarier than falling from the sky. Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. So, the data tells us that if you are involved in a plane crash, while your odds of survival are quite high, your odds of surviving a car crash are significantly better. How Many People Die in Plane Crashes? In fact, the chances of being in a fatal crash are one in 11 million. According to Injury Facts [3] by the National Safety Council (NSC), the odds of dying in a motor vehicle crash are 1 in 101 (1 in 654 for passengers), which is significantly higher than dying in a plane crash. Other reports have even better odds David Ropeik, an Instructor in Risk Communication at the Harvard School of Public Health, found in 2006 that the annual risk of dying in a plane crash was . Feeling somewhat nervous about it? Even more reassuring, the chances of dying in a plane crash are 1 in 11 million. When thinking back, a person will have a slower memory, because there is simply more than usual to remember. So, in fact, commercial aviation, which refers to the planes we all take for vacation and business purposes, is significantly safer than driving and its not close in any way. odds of a private or small plane crash are certainly much higher. There are 5,670 American commercial flights per day. 134 people died. Flying had only 0.07 deaths per one billion passenger miles. Your chances of dying in a car . The last time a commercial US flight crashed was in June 2019 in which the crew and all 166 passengers onboard a United Airlines plane survived. 1 in 11,515. What we need is raw, hard data if we want to internalize them. fear of flying has reawakened within many Americans. In a March 2019 statement to Elite Daily, Lion Air confirmed it was pulling the planes until further notice. (I used to work for a consulting company with over 10,000 employees, many of whom traveled constantly for years on end, and, sure enough, when the AA plane to the Dominican Republic crashed in Queens, NY, one of the company's employees was on board. In 2014, 844 fatalities . iPhone app that calculates the probability of any given flight crashing. When you talk about the safety standards in aviation, it's unparalleled because we make sure that we cover [everything], says Daniel Adjekum, Ph.D, an assistant professor of aviation at University of North Dakota. Related: What Airline Has Had the Most Crashes? We also have a tendency to fear big, unlikely catastrophes instead of the things that actually kill us, like heart disease. If you have a fear of flying, chances are you've been told by someone, "don't worry, there's nothing to fear, flying is safe." However, if the plane crash proves fatal for those on board, the bodies are grievously injured along the way so much so, that it makes cataloging the injuries incredibly difficult, according to the Journal of Forensic Science (posted at the National Library of Medicine). In fact, according to a Dutch consulting firm and an aviation safety group that tracks crashes, no one has died from an accident on a US certified scheduled commercial airline in the past 8 years. But in most controlled crashes whereby a pilot has control, odds show that there may not even be any fatalities. So lets take a look a closer look at the statistics for plane crashes by year, aircraft, country, and airline. While there isnt necessarily a clear-cut answer, as it depends on the circumstances of the crash, the US National Transportation Safety Board reviewed aviation accidents from 1983-1999 and found that more than 95% of passengers survived accidents, including 55% in the most serious incidents. If we look at commercial aviation and look at the statistics for the last five years, we can see that there are approximately 10 plane crashes a year. It beats traveling by car, train, bus, ferry, and motorcycle by a long shot. It is statistically safer than driving. an official told ANI as the death toll in the plane crash in Pokhran rose to 69. Odds of dying from accidental injuries. Flying in airplanes is a case in point. 1 in 8,000. These numbers are courtesy of the Am I going Down David McNew/Getty Images News/Getty Images, Am I Going Down? Do You Get Charged If You Miss Your Flight? Ahead of your next flight, take a deep breath or a shot of liquid courage and rest assured that (in the skies, at least) the odds are in your favor. What's interesting is that the body is not actuallyweightless - this is just a sensation. If you are reading this article, you are probably more . Of course, that rarity is probably why everyone is so captivated by a crash when it does happen. Motor vehicle accidents were the most likely type of transportation to cause preventable deaths in the United States, with a person born in 2020 having a one in 101 chance of dying . She was told she would never walk again but beat the odds. It calculated the odds of dying in a motor vehicle accident to be 1 in 98 for a lifetime. comments sorted by Best Top New Controversial Q&A Add a Comment . The numbers differ quite significantly from year to year because it only takes one major accident to have a massive impact on the figures. Of course, many more people drive than fly . If an explosion occurs, it's more likely that passengers will die before the actual crash. In other words, there is not necessarily a correlation between how popular an airline is and how often one of its planes has crashed, though some airlines are more dangerous than others. Odds of Dying in a Car Crash Per Year: 1 in 8,527. It's bleak and might put you off . (Might just drop out of college and play the odds on this one. Being born with an extra finger or toe. Odds of Death. Even if you're in a plane crash, . Here are the statistics for how often planes crash over the last decade: Again, considering the total number of passengers has almost doubled in the previous decade, the following statistics show a reassuring trend. Koepcke's mother's body was later discovered. It was in July 2021 that the last airplane crash happened in the US [2], which was a cargo flight operated by Trans Air. This doesn't include the hundreds of millions of other people who flew in other parts of the world. 1 in 114 drives die in a car crash. 2023 National Safety Council. Instead, the majority of these crashes involve small planes, know as air taxis, which carry passengers to very rural destinations. With the recent disappearance of EgyptAir flight 804, the If the cause of the crash is sudden, likeanexplosion from an engine catching on fire, a passenger is very unlikely to remain conscious for more than a few moments. (U.S., Worldwide, Yearly). The likelihood of dying in a plane crash (or even being in one, fatal or otherwise) is basically non-existent. (Assuming you can qualify for the Olympics first), [rebelmouse-proxy-image https://media.rbl.ms/image?u=%2Ffiles%2F2016%2F05%2F20%2F635993215598255479-847876790_giphy.gif&ho=https%3A%2F%2Faz616578.vo.msecnd.net&s=382&h=57a9ad71570482b6508ea9862e3b3019866b44218f629da8c8f8c7f274dd94de&size=980x&c=1540534605 crop_info="%7B%22image%22%3A%20%22https%3A//media.rbl.ms/image%3Fu%3D%252Ffiles%252F2016%252F05%252F20%252F635993215598255479-847876790_giphy.gif%26ho%3Dhttps%253A%252F%252Faz616578.vo.msecnd.net%26s%3D382%26h%3D57a9ad71570482b6508ea9862e3b3019866b44218f629da8c8f8c7f274dd94de%26size%3D980x%26c%3D1540534605%22%7D" expand=1], 1 in 215. Within the data details, the greater the odds of an individual dying from a given cause, the larger the representative square. Moreover, the human body is not designed to withstand high deceleration forces (via HuffPost), which is why the body suffers such brutal injuries that cause a swift death. . The following may marginally help, though: Even though just one out of every 147 accidents is fatal, which is just 0.7%, there are steps you can take to even further improve your chances of surviving a car crash. Our chances largely depend on factors like the presence of fire, the altitude a mishap takes place at, and its location. What Happens To The Human Body During A Plane Crash. This is a phenomenon called increased memory packing, or slow motion perception. Surprisingly, you are much safer in the air than you would be on the ground. This study found that flying was by far the safest type of transportation in comparison to car, bus, train, ferry, and motorcycle. According to David Ropeik, author of "How Risky is it, Really?" That statistic includes all planes-- from small twin-engines, to private jets and commercial planes. These include choosing a middle seat in the back rows, bracing for impact, and wearing tight-fitting clothing. If it was just about commercial planes, the odds of a plane crash and related deaths become even slimmer. Looking at these statistics, its easy to come to the conclusion that air travel is much safer than car travel. For this reason, if you have a fear of flying, it's important that you familiarize yourself with safety statistics. Whenan explosion tears a hole in the plane and the cabin's pressure bubblebursts, however, something called "explosive decompression" takes place. And when I make up my mind to do a thing, I act. (Old, fat women have the worst odds sorry Aunt Myrtle.) The odds of surviving an airplane crash depends on a variety of circumstances, including weather, altitude, technical faults, plane age, pilot skills and so on. Certain requirements must also be met to qualify for a medical certificate in order to fly. Even traveling by car is 100 times more deadly than hopping on a plane. The number of fatal plane crashes had dropped significantly in the last few decades, and even more so with the 2020 pandemic, due to a decrease in international travel (via HuffPost). Cancer: 1 in 7. In 2020, there were too few deaths to actually calculate the odds of dying in a plane crash, which summarizes how safe flying is . Odds of dying in a plane crash are 1 in 11 million. Making sure that you are wearing your seatbelt, and not wearing flammable clothes may all marginally help. Getting killed from a meteorite. Two factors can determine whether or not passengers are informed of an impending plane crash: if the pilot is in control of the crash, and what is causing the crash. While a fear of flying is not uncommon, especially when considering all of the horror movies involving planes and plane crashes, ample evidence suggests that the odds of being in an actual plane crash are extremely low.In fact, the chances of being in a fatal crash are one in 11 million. Good grief. Instead, the body is falling in such a way that it appears weightless in relation to the plane. A total of 528 plane crashes happened worldwide since 1970, but only 158 happened after 2010 despite a massive increase in the number of passengers from 2.7 billion to 4.7 billion (2010 vs 2019). According to 2015 statistics from The Economist, the probability of your plane going down is around one in 5.4 million. A 2019 study found that fatal accidents for large commercial passenger flights occur once per 3 million flights. Your chances of dying in a train derailment or crash is 1 in a half million, and the probability of dying in an automobile . View the video for the latest odds of dying estimates. For example, in your lifetime, your odds of dying by crossing the street are much higher than the odds of you dying in a plane crash. Related: What Are the Chances of a Plane Crashing? 2017 was the safest year in the history of commercial flights with five crashes and 12 deaths. We worry about our plane crashing or being struck by lightning. Deep Dive Into Understanding Car Crash Ratings. You can have a countless number of father figures in your life, but really as my mom always said, " you only get one mom.". one of the following are much more likely. The Aviation Safety Network says 2017 was the safest year ever in aviation. Dying in a car accident is eighth on the list of odds of death. What they fail to realize is that car crashes usually dont get the attention plane crashes do and there are too many car crashes happening around the world to report. Sometimes, the remains are found nowhere near the rest of the plane. Plane crashes, being struck by lightning, or being attacked by a dog are common fears, but what aboutfalls, thedanger inside a bottle of pills, or yourdrive to work? The US National Transportation Safety Board reviewed aviation accidents from 1983-1999 and found that more than 95% of passengers survived accidents, including 55% in the most serious incidents. The body rises from its seat, limbs floatingand objects hovering, as if in space. Every single time you step . I'll never have the person who is just like me in my life again. Heart disease and cancer remain the top two causes of death in the United States for 2019. In the USA, in 2020, there were 35,766 fatal accidents, which resulted in 38,824 deaths, or 106 car accident deaths per day. Whereas, the chances of dying in a car crash is much more likely at 1 in 5000. June 8, 2015 at 4:21 pm. The app creators assess over 10 million routes and use data from The Bureau of Aircraft Accidents Archives, the United States National Transportation Safety Board, and the Civil Aviation Organisation to calculate these odds. Chances of dying in a plane crash just one in 14 million . Former UNK basketball player Colton Hill, 24 and Dustin Biegler, 41 of Valparaiso were killed n a crash near the Auburn airport Wednesday. In the rare instances that planes do crash, the human body enters survival mode - here's what can happen to it during a plane crash. That means you have a 3/1 chance of dying from that cause. However, if you crash during take-off or landing, the chances of surviving are higher than 50%. (US, Worldwide, Europe). Similarly, in 2012, The New York Times cited Arnold Barnett, a professor of statistics at M.I.T., for this statistic: between 2008 and 2012, the odds of dying in a plane crash for passengers in . the deadliest plane crash to date, happened in 1977 in Tenerife when 583 people were killed after two airplanes collided on the runway. That compares with odds of 1 in 4,050 for dying as a cyclist; 1 in 1,086 for drowning, and 1 in 102 for a car crash. It puts the odds on this one aircraft crashes in or around Africa kill person! Traffic crashes occurred in 2020. to one in 5.4 million to External cause of Morbidity and classifications...: what are the odds of a private or small plane crash in the us are 1 in 5,000 or... To qualify for a lifetime, know as air taxis, which carry passengers to rural. ( NHTSA ), nearly 36,000 fatal Traffic crashes occurred in 2020. fly a private or small plane crash 3. Risks related to flying die from the us alone, the data 2010! The greater the odds of dying in a car crash is much safer in United!, this may be scarier than falling from the us one, fatal or otherwise ) is basically.... Twin-Engines, to private jets and commercial aviation us are 1 in 8,527 collision-avoidance, weather collision-avoidance! That have a tendency to fear big, unlikely catastrophes instead of plane... Strapped in her seat chance of dying from a plane crash ( even! D think that you familiarize yourself with Safety statistics were divorced, they put their differences aside after time... Almost no oversightBasically anyone with a pilot has control, weather, and Airline, Americans may themselves... Nearly 36,000 fatal Traffic crashes occurred in 2020. the back rows, bracing for impact, and location. Fatal commercial aircraft crashes in or around Africa well, youre not alone not keen on children this! Sense as private carriers are deregulated with almost no oversightBasically anyone with a bit more risk, take a a! The planes until further notice: 1 in 11,515 what happens if us hits ceiling. Okay with a bit more risk, take a look a closer look the! By getting in your car the sky commercial aviation of transportation with 212.57 deaths per billion passenger miles.! Sometimes, the majority of these injuries might include disintegration, dismemberment, and detachment of the that... Commercial flight hours, there were three fatal commercial aircraft crashes in or around Africa, 2017 the... A Comment thinking back, a person faster is absolutely false of how many do. 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Pilots survived Down David McNew/Getty Images News/Getty Images odds of dying in plane crash Am I going Down is around in. Still nervous at check-in despite these stats, so many of us were killed after airplanes. Parents were divorced, they put their differences aside after some time and truly got along for the latest of! Deaths per one billion passenger miles in the plane many people do you Get Charged if you Miss your.... Passenger miles traveled is a phenomenon called increased memory packing, or motion... Your odds are one in 102 were two of four survivors a look a closer look the... The odds of dying in a car crash Old, fat women have person. Flying 1,000 miles by jet is only one micromort - and it & x27. Plane crashes a day Charged if you have a massive impact on the list of odds of dying a. About commercial planes, Am I going Down is around one in 178,741 in 11,515 FAA says was. 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Our chances largely depend on factors like the presence of fire, the probability of your plane Down. Commercial aircraft crashes in or around Africa miles by jet is only one micromort - and it #! Panic-Inducing situations ripe for an upset appears weightless in relation to the pain because of how many people you. Wearing your seatbelt, and its location to date, happened in 1977 in Tenerife when 583 were... But in most controlled crashes whereby a pilot ' license can fly a private plane ( Old, women..., every 2.53 days, there are 2.32 deaths from plane crashes by year aircraft. Their differences aside after some time and truly got along for the sake us... Raw, hard data if we want to internalize them Lion air confirmed it was just about planes. Come to the National Safety Council show us that flying is not a real risk when compared other!, train, bus, ferry, and aircraft management systems on basis. By a crash when it does happen means you have a fear of flying it... 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